Fulham keep taking the lead and keep letting it go

Six games in, Fulham are still waiting on a first win, and the frustrating bit for their fans is how close they've come. They've been in front in three of those six matches and haven't won any of them. Two draws, four losses, bottom of the table, and last time out they went down 2-1 at Ipswich.

Hull are the early-season surprise packet, eighth on nine points. Their form has cooled, with no win in five (three draws and two losses), but they're hard to put away. Last weekend Everton turned the game around on them with two second-half goals, and Hull still found a 74th-minute equaliser for a 2-2 draw.

So the story is a home side that can't close a game out against a visiting side that doesn't fold. Kick-off is 1am AEDT on Sunday.

The price

Fulham are 1.71 at the median and the market has barely moved in 24 hours. The Hull +0.5 line, which pays on a draw or a Hull win, is 2.24 at its best. That's about a 44 per cent chance for a side that's drawn three of its last five, against a home side that's let three leads slip already. For once the story and the price aren't miles apart, but the price still looks a touch long.

Verdict: Hull +0.5 at 2.24.