South Carolina vs Tennessee prediction: Oct 24, 2026, Front-Seven Test

Tennessee has the steadier four-quarter profile because its rushing game and defensive front can control possession without demanding a high-volume passing day. The Volunteers are 6-1, average 217.1 rushing yards per game and have recorded 30 sacks, while opponents are averaging only 121.1 yards on the ground. Tennessee has also won three straight SEC games, including a 26-10 victory over Alabama in which DeSean Bishop rushed for 159 yards and two touchdowns. The unresolved quarterback choice adds volatility, but Tennessee can lean on Bishop and its front seven regardless of who takes the first snap.

South Carolina's best argument is the combination of home field, extra preparation and a run defense capable of forcing Tennessee away from its preferred script. LaNorris Sellers also showed the ceiling of this offense in the 38-19 win at Florida, throwing for 279 yards and four touchdowns while adding another score on the ground. The Gamecocks finished that road win without a turnover, and that kind of ball security would be essential here. If South Carolina wins early downs and keeps Tennessee's pass rush from creating long-yardage situations, the matchup can swing toward the home side.

The pick is Tennessee to win because its defensive pressure, rushing consistency and stronger season-long results provide the more repeatable path. South Carolina's rest advantage, Williams-Brice environment and Sellers' playmaking make this a legitimate upset risk for the road team. The available moneyline price is attractive relative to the matchup but should not be treated as an independently modeled win probability. The handicap and total below are score-based projections rather than separate market lines.

Game Projection

Predicted Score: South Carolina 23 – Tennessee 27
Projected Handicap: South Carolina +4.0 / Tennessee -4.0
Projected Over/Under Total: 50.0 points