Cagliari vs Frosinone prediction: visitors carry the stronger form

Frosinone arrive with the stronger current baseline. Cagliari have lost four consecutive league matches, while Frosinone have taken ten points from their last four, including home wins over Lecce and Torino.

Baseline strength

Cagliari have 13 points from ten matches, with nine goals scored and 15 conceded. Frosinone sit on 20 points with 24 goals scored and 14 conceded. The visitors have the clearer season edge, although their away record is more mixed than their overall table position suggests.

Quality of the attacking process

Cagliari did create enough to lead at Lazio before losing 2-1, so the recent losing run has not been completely without attacking threat. Frosinone, however, have scored 15 goals across their last four league matches: 4-2 against Sassuolo, 4-4 at Atalanta, 5-1 against Lecce and 2-0 against Torino. That sustained scoring output is the strongest repeatable difference.

Available squad adjustment

The confirmed starting XIs are not yet available. Cagliari also finished the Lazio match with ten men after Adam Obert's second yellow card, which affects availability for this fixture. No unconfirmed lineup assumptions are added.

Probability ranking

The order is Frosinone win > Draw > Cagliari win. Cagliari's home setting keeps the gap from becoming large, but Frosinone's current scoring level gives them the better route to two goals.

Final match call

Result: Frosinone win
Projected score: Cagliari 1 - 2 Frosinone
Spread lean: Frosinone +0.5
Total lean: Over 2.5