Bilibili Gaming vs T1 prediction: BLG have already beaten T1 twice this year

Two years ago T1 beat Bilibili Gaming 3-2 in the Worlds final, and for a while that felt like the shape of this rivalry: BLG get close, T1 find a way. 2026 has told a different story. At MSI in July, BLG beat T1 in a five-game lower-bracket series, and twelve days later they beat them again in a single game at the Esports World Cup.

The way the two got here this autumn adds to it. BLG had a rocky Swiss stage, going 3-2 and needing the deciding match to get through, but they have looked a different side since: a 3-0 sweep of Dplus KIA in the quarter-final, without dropping a game. T1 cruised through Swiss at 3-1 and then dropped a game to Karmine Corp before winning 3-1. Both teams arrive in form, but only one of them has beaten the other this year, and they've done it twice.

The price

The market has BLG as the favourite with a median of 1.71 and T1 at 2.05, so the story and the board agree on who should win. The best price on BLG is 1.96, well above that median, which is where it gets interesting: you are getting a bigger number on the side the recent head-to-head points to. First game is 9am AEDT on Monday.

Verdict

The mail from this year is BLG, and 1.96 is a good number for it. Bilibili Gaming to win at 1.96.