⚽️ UEFA Nations League Serbia vs Germany Nov 13 (Fri) 19:45 Hit 1:3

Serbia vs Germany prediction: Visitors favored in close contest

−105 Buli -18.5% · 25/53 (47%) ·Nov 9 (Mon) 17:30 ·👁 18💬 0

Prediction ✓ Away @ 1.31Betano Best odds at posting Last before start 1.25▼ Pinnacle

Serbia vs Germany | Balanced Match Preview

Germany are the preferred away winner in this UEFA Nations League Group A2 meeting. Serbia have lost all four group matches, scoring three times and conceding eight, while Germany have five points from one win, two draws and one loss. The first fixture in Germany ended 2-0 to the hosts. Serbia's home venue in Belgrade adds a different setting, but their recent results still leave Germany with the clearer baseline advantage.

Baseline Team Strength

Serbia's four defeats include two 1-2 losses at home, against Greece and the Netherlands, followed by a 0-2 defeat away to Germany and another 1-2 defeat in the Netherlands. Germany have scored only three goals across four group games, but have conceded just twice. This is a modest attacking output coupled with relatively tight defensive results. Germany's lower goals-against record is the strongest observable reason to back them.

Chance Creation and Finishing

Serbia found the net in three of their four matches, suggesting that a home goal is plausible even against Germany. However, they have not turned those goals into any points. Germany's 2-0 victory in the first meeting gives the visitors the edge in recent direct performance. Their subsequent 0-0 draw away to Greece also indicates that a low-scoring contest is a reasonable possibility.

Matchday Squad and Uncertainty

This is a national-team fixture, and the final starting elevens can change close to kickoff. The projection therefore rests on completed group results rather than assumptions about named starters or absent players. Serbia's home advantage is a genuine counterweight, as is Germany's limited scoring output across their opening four group games.

Outcome Ranking

Germany win > draw > Serbia win is the qualitative ordering. A narrow Germany victory is preferred over a repeat of the previous 2-0 margin, because Serbia have scored in both of their group home matches.