Toronto Maple Leafs vs San Jose Sharks prediction: the market leaned road side

Over the last 24 hours the Leafs drifted from 1.66 to 1.74 at the best price while the Sharks came in from 2.33 to 2.25, so money has been finding the road side. It isn't one book out of step either: the consensus sits at 1.71 and 2.19, which means the books moved together rather than one outlier pulling the board. A move like that against a home favourite usually reads as information, not noise. Toronto has also lost four of its last five, including a 1-4 home loss to the Islanders on Saturday, so the market has a reason to doubt the short price. The best Sharks number still available is 2.25, a little above the consensus, and that is the side I'd rather follow than fade.

San Jose on the moneyline is my call, following the move.