One book is off the road side

Montreal's moneyline sits at a 2.10 median, but bet365 is hanging 2.22, about six per cent longer than the rest of the board. That looks like one book out of step rather than a move, and gaps like that tend to close toward the consensus before puck drop. The home price is tight across books, with the best 1.78 barely above the 1.73 median, so the disagreement sits entirely on the road side. Recent results give no reason to fade Montreal: the Canadiens beat Buffalo 4-3 and Detroit 1-0 in their last two, while Washington dropped two straight, 2-4 in Carolina and 3-5 at home to Seattle. At 2.22 the road side is priced like a clear underdog in a game the rest of the market reads as only a modest home edge.

I take the Canadiens moneyline at 2.22.